This blog is intended to house essays discussing in-house research conducted by Mark Grebner. The original “Technical Politics” was hosted by MichiganLiberal.com, and consisted of a series of essays written roughly from 2000 to 2012. At some point, the domain name was lost, and the essays became unavailable. I will post a few of the old essays here, looking for those that still seem relevant and useful. Some of the writing is probably lost forever. […]
Reprinted from MichiganLiberal.com June 10, 2009 Candidate polls work. First, let’s talk about candidate polling. Political polls are conducted all the time to assess which candidate is ahead in some race, and to predict who will win the election. Each published poll has a “margin of error”, based on statistical theory, that states how far off its prediction is likely to be. If you look back after an election, you almost always find that […]
I don’t have any illusion that anybody cares what I expect of Donald Trump’s presidency. I don’t think I have any special knowledge. If anybody reads this, it won’t give them tips on how to prevent the impending damage, or improve their own position. In short, this post serves only one purpose: it allows me to put my markers down, so if I happen to be proven right, I’ll be able to point to it. […]
The purpose of this blog is mainly to house my ruminations on technical aspects of political campaigning, voter registration lists, GOTV techniques, and similar hum-drum topics on which I claim to be some kind of authority. I suppose it’ll also accumulate my opinionated bloviation on topics where I don’t know any more than anybody else does. For about ten years, I have posted articles to MichiganLiberal.com, maintained originally by Matt Ferguson, and then by Eric […]
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